{"id":79803,"date":"2026-03-03T08:10:01","date_gmt":"2026-03-03T00:10:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wsisp.com\/helps\/79803.html"},"modified":"2026-03-03T08:10:01","modified_gmt":"2026-03-03T00:10:01","slug":"%e5%bc%82%e8%b4%a8%e5%a4%84%e7%90%86%e6%95%88%e5%ba%94%ef%bc%88hte%ef%bc%89%e5%ba%94%e7%94%a8%e4%ba%8e%e7%b2%be%e7%bb%86%e5%8c%96%e8%bf%90%e8%90%a5%e5%92%8c%e5%88%86%e5%b1%82%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wsisp.com\/helps\/79803.html","title":{"rendered":"\u5f02\u8d28\u5904\u7406\u6548\u5e94\uff08HTE\uff09\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u7cbe\u7ec6\u5316\u8fd0\u8425\u548c\u5206\u5c42\u7b56\u7565"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wsisp.com\/helps\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/20260303001000-69a626d8913c2.jpg\" alt=\"\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u63d2\u5165\u56fe\u7247\u63cf\u8ff0\" 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\/>\n\u6838\u5fc3\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5<br \/>\n1.\u56e0\u679c\u68ee\u6797&#xff08;Causal Forest&#xff09;&#xff1a;\u6700\u9002\u5408\u8fd0\u8425\u573a\u666f\u7684HTE\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5&#xff0c;\u57fa\u4e8e\u968f\u673a\u68ee\u6797\u4f18\u5316&#xff0c;\u53ef\u81ea\u52a8\u6355\u6349\u7528\u6237\u7279\u5f81\u4e0e\u5e72\u9884\u6548\u679c\u7684\u590d\u6742\u4ea4\u4e92\u5173\u7cfb&#xff0c;\u7cbe\u51c6\u4f30\u8ba1CATE\u548cITE&#xff0c;\u65e0\u9700\u624b\u52a8\u7b5b\u9009\u7279\u5f81&#xff0c;\u4e14\u5bf9\u9ad8\u7ef4\u6570\u636e\u9002\u5e94\u6027\u5f3a&#xff0c;\u53ef\u901a\u8fc7Python\u5de5\u5177\u5305\u5feb\u901f\u5b9e\u73b0&#xff0c;\u4f8b\u5982\u5fae\u8f6f\u5f00\u6e90\u7684EconML\u5e93\u4e2d\u7684CausalForestDML\u6a21\u5757\u3002<br \/>\n2.\u53cc\u91cd\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60&#xff08;DML&#xff09;&#xff1a;\u901a\u8fc7\u5206\u9636\u6bb5\u56de\u5f52\u6d88\u9664\u6df7\u6742\u504f\u5dee&#xff0c;\u7b2c\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\u7528\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u6a21\u578b\u62df\u5408\u5904\u7406\u53d8\u91cf\u548c\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u534f\u53d8\u91cf\u5173\u7cfb&#xff0c;\u7b2c\u4e8c\u9636\u6bb5\u901a\u8fc7\u6b8b\u5dee\u4f30\u8ba1\u5904\u7406\u6548\u5e94&#xff0c;\u9002\u5408\u5b58\u5728\u9ad8\u7ef4\u534f\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u8fd0\u8425\u573a\u666f&#xff0c;\u53ef\u6709\u6548\u907f\u514d\u8fc7\u62df\u5408\u548c\u9009\u62e9\u6027\u504f\u5dee\u3002<br \/>\n3.\u4e9a\u7ec4\u5206\u6790&#xff1a;\u6700\u7b80\u5355\u76f4\u89c2\u7684\u5165\u95e8\u65b9\u6cd5&#xff0c;\u6309\u5355\u4e00\u7279\u5f81&#xff08;\u5982\u6ce8\u518c\u65f6\u957f\u3001\u5ba2\u5355\u4ef7&#xff09;\u4f9d\u6b21\u5bf9\u7528\u6237\u4e9a\u7ec4\u8fdb\u884c\u6548\u5e94\u4f30\u8ba1&#xff0c;\u9002\u5408\u8fd0\u8425\u521d\u671f\u3001\u6570\u636e\u91cf\u8f83\u5c11\u7684\u573a\u666f&#xff0c;\u4f46\u9700\u6ce8\u610f\u907f\u514d\u591a\u4e2a\u7279\u5f81\u4ea4\u4e92\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u504f\u5dee\u3002<br \/>\n\u5b9e\u64cd\u5de5\u5177\u4e0e\u4ee3\u7801\u793a\u4f8b<br \/>\n1&#xff09;Python\u5de5\u5177\u5305&#xff1a;EconML&#xff08;\u5fae\u8f6f\u5f00\u6e90&#xff0c;\u652f\u6301DML\u3001\u56e0\u679c\u68ee\u6797\u7b49\u591a\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5&#xff09;\u3001Scikit-learn&#xff08;\u8f85\u52a9\u7279\u5f81\u5de5\u7a0b&#xff09;&#xff0c;\u53ef\u901a\u8fc7\u7b80\u5355\u4ee3\u7801\u5b9e\u73b0HTE\u4f30\u8ba1&#xff0c;\u793a\u4f8b\u5982\u4e0b&#xff08;\u57fa\u4e8eEconML\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u68ee\u6797&#xff09;&#xff1a;<br \/>\npython<br \/>\nfrom econml.dml import CausalForestDML<br \/>\nimport numpy as np<br \/>\nimport pandas as pd<\/p>\n<h3>a.\u51c6\u5907\u6570\u636e&#xff08;X&#xff1a;\u7528\u6237\u7279\u5f81&#xff0c;T&#xff1a;\u5e72\u9884\u53d8\u91cf&#xff0c;Y&#xff1a;\u7ed3\u679c\u6307\u6807&#xff09;<\/h3>\n<h3>X&#xff1a;\u7528\u6237\u7279\u5f81&#xff08;\u5982\u6ce8\u518c\u65f6\u957f\u3001\u8d2d\u4e70\u9891\u6b21\u3001\u5ba2\u5355\u4ef7&#xff09;<\/h3>\n<h3>T&#xff1a;\u5e72\u9884\u53d8\u91cf&#xff08;1&#061;\u63a8\u9001\u4f18\u60e0\u5238&#xff0c;0&#061;\u4e0d\u63a8\u9001&#xff09;<\/h3>\n<h3>Y&#xff1a;\u7ed3\u679c\u6307\u6807&#xff08;1&#061;\u6838\u9500\u4f18\u60e0\u5238&#xff0c;0&#061;\u672a\u6838\u9500&#xff09;<\/h3>\n<p>data &#061; pd.read_csv(\u201coperation_data.csv\u201d)<br \/>\nX &#061; data[[\u201cregister_days\u201d, \u201cpurchase_freq\u201d, \u201caverage_price\u201d]]<br \/>\nT &#061; data[\u201ccoupon_push\u201d]<br \/>\nY &#061; data[\u201ccoupon_use\u201d]<\/p>\n<h3>b.\u8bad\u7ec3\u56e0\u679c\u68ee\u6797\u6a21\u578b&#xff0c;\u4f30\u8ba1HTE<\/h3>\n<p>cf &#061; CausalForestDML(criterion&#061;\u2018het\u2019, n_estimators&#061;500, min_samples_split&#061;20)<br \/>\ncf.fit(Y&#061;Y, T&#061;T, X&#061;X)<\/p>\n<h3>c.\u4f30\u8ba1\u5404\u7528\u6237\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u5904\u7406\u6548\u5e94&#xff08;ITE&#xff09;<\/h3>\n<p>data[\u201cite\u201d] &#061; cf.effect(X)<\/p>\n<h3>d.\u6839\u636eITE\u5212\u5206\u7528\u6237\u5206\u5c42&#xff08;\u6b63\u5411\u654f\u611f&#xff1a;ite&gt;0.5&#xff0c;\u4e2d\u6027&#xff1a;0.2\u2264ite\u22640.5&#xff0c;\u8d1f\u5411\u654f\u611f&#xff1a;ite&lt;-0.1&#xff0c;\u65e0\u53cd\u5e94&#xff1a;-0.1\u2264ite&lt;0.2&#xff09;<\/h3>\n<p>data[\u201cuser_layer\u201d] &#061; pd.cut(data[\u201cite\u201d],<br \/>\nbins&#061;[-np.inf, -0.1, 0.2, 0.5, np.inf],<br \/>\nlabels&#061;[\u201c\u8d1f\u5411\u654f\u611f\u201d, \u201c\u65e0\u53cd\u5e94\u201d, \u201c\u4e2d\u6027\u201d, \u201c\u6b63\u5411\u654f\u611f\u201d])<br \/>\n2&#xff09;\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u5de5\u5177&#xff1a;\u90e8\u5206\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5e73\u53f0\u5df2\u63a8\u51faHTE\u5206\u6790\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u5de5\u5177&#xff0c;\u53ef\u901a\u8fc7\u586b\u5199\u914d\u7f6e\u81ea\u52a8\u751f\u6210\u5206\u6790SQL\u3001\u53d6\u6570\u3001\u53ef\u89c6\u5316\u7ed3\u679c&#xff0c;\u4ec5\u97006\u884c\u4ee3\u7801\u5373\u53ef\u5b9e\u73b0\u5f02\u8d28\u6027\u63a2\u7d22&#xff0c;\u652f\u6301CATE\u4eba\u7fa4\u7684\u6548\u679c\u68c0\u9a8c\u3001\u591a\u6307\u6807\u62c6\u89e3\u548c\u7279\u5f81\u63cf\u8ff0&#xff0c;\u9002\u5408\u975e\u6280\u672f\u80cc\u666f\u7684\u8fd0\u8425\u4eba\u5458\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u56db\u3001\u5178\u578b\u5e94\u7528\u573a\u666f\u4e0e\u843d\u5730\u6848\u4f8b<\/h3>\n<p>HTE\u5df2\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u7535\u5546\u3001\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u3001\u51fa\u884c\u7b49\u591a\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u7684\u7cbe\u7ec6\u5316\u8fd0\u8425&#xff0c;\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7ed3\u5408\u5177\u4f53\u6848\u4f8b&#xff0c;\u8bf4\u660e\u5176\u5728\u5206\u5c42\u7b56\u7565\u4e2d\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u4ef7\u503c&#xff0c;\u5176\u4e2d\u65e2\u6709\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\u573a\u666f&#xff0c;\u4e5f\u6709\u8de8\u9886\u57df\u7684\u53c2\u8003\u6848\u4f8b&#xff1a;<br \/>\n\u573a\u666f1&#xff1a;\u7535\u5546\u5e73\u53f0\u4fc3\u9500\u6d3b\u52a8\u5206\u5c42\u8fd0\u8425<br \/>\n\u67d0\u5934\u90e8\u7535\u5546\u5e73\u53f0\u5f00\u5c55\u201c618\u4f18\u60e0\u5238\u63a8\u9001\u201d\u6d3b\u52a8&#xff0c;\u521d\u671f\u91c7\u7528\u201c\u5168\u5458\u63a8\u9001\u201d\u7b56\u7565&#xff0c;\u53d1\u73b0\u6574\u4f53\u6838\u9500\u7387\u4ec53.2%&#xff0c;\u8d44\u6e90\u6d6a\u8d39\u4e25\u91cd\u3002\u901a\u8fc7HTE\u5206\u6790&#xff0c;\u57fa\u4e8e\u7528\u6237\u6ce8\u518c\u65f6\u957f\u3001\u5386\u53f2\u8d2d\u4e70\u9891\u6b21\u3001\u5ba2\u5355\u4ef7\u4e09\u4e2a\u6838\u5fc3\u7279\u5f81&#xff0c;\u8bc6\u522b\u51fa\u5f02\u8d28\u6027&#xff1a;<br \/>\n\u2022\u6b63\u5411\u654f\u611f\u7fa4\u4f53&#xff08;\u5360\u6bd428%&#xff09;&#xff1a;\u6ce8\u518c1-3\u4e2a\u6708\u3001\u5386\u53f2\u8d2d\u4e702-3\u6b21\u3001\u5ba2\u5355\u4ef750-200\u5143\u7684\u7528\u6237&#xff0c;\u6838\u9500\u7387\u8fbe12.5%&#xff1b;<br \/>\n\u2022\u4e2d\u6027\u7fa4\u4f53&#xff08;\u5360\u6bd442%&#xff09;&#xff1a;\u6ce8\u518c3-12\u4e2a\u6708\u3001\u5386\u53f2\u8d2d\u4e701-2\u6b21\u3001\u5ba2\u5355\u4ef7200-500\u5143\u7684\u7528\u6237&#xff0c;\u6838\u9500\u73873.8%&#xff1b;<br \/>\n\u2022\u8d1f\u5411\u654f\u611f\u7fa4\u4f53&#xff08;\u5360\u6bd48%&#xff09;&#xff1a;\u6ce8\u518c\u8d85\u8fc72\u5e74\u3001\u5386\u53f2\u5ba2\u5355\u4ef7\u22651000\u5143\u7684\u8001\u7528\u6237&#xff0c;\u6838\u9500\u73870.3%&#xff0c;\u4e14\u9000\u8ba2\u7387\u63d0\u53475%&#xff1b;<br \/>\n\u2022\u65e0\u53cd\u5e94\u7fa4\u4f53&#xff08;\u5360\u6bd422%&#xff09;&#xff1a;\u6ce8\u518c\u8d85\u8fc71\u5e74\u3001\u5386\u53f2\u8d2d\u4e70\u22641\u6b21\u7684\u7528\u6237&#xff0c;\u6838\u9500\u73870.1%\u3002<br \/>\n\u57fa\u4e8e\u6b64&#xff0c;\u5e73\u53f0\u8c03\u6574\u5206\u5c42\u7b56\u7565&#xff1a;\u5bf9\u6b63\u5411\u654f\u611f\u7fa4\u4f53\u63a8\u9001\u201c\u6ee1200\u51cf50\u201d\u4f18\u60e0\u5238&#xff0c;\u53e0\u52a0\u4e13\u5c5e\u5ba2\u670d\u5bf9\u63a5&#xff1b;\u5bf9\u4e2d\u6027\u7fa4\u4f53\u63a8\u9001\u201c\u6ee1500\u51cf80\u201d\u4f18\u60e0\u5238&#xff0c;\u7ed3\u5408\u5176\u6d4f\u89c8\u504f\u597d\u63a8\u8350\u5546\u54c1&#xff1b;\u5bf9\u8d1f\u5411\u654f\u611f\u7fa4\u4f53\u505c\u6b62\u63a8\u9001\u4f18\u60e0\u5238&#xff0c;\u6539\u4e3a\u63a8\u9001\u9ad8\u7aef\u65b0\u54c1\u8d44\u8baf&#xff1b;\u5bf9\u65e0\u53cd\u5e94\u7fa4\u4f53\u6682\u505c\u63a8\u9001&#xff0c;\u4ec5\u5728\u5176\u6d4f\u89c8\u5546\u54c1\u65f6\u89e6\u53d1\u4f18\u60e0\u5238\u5f39\u7a97\u3002\u8c03\u6574\u540e&#xff0c;\u6574\u4f53\u6838\u9500\u7387\u63d0\u5347\u81f37.8%&#xff0c;\u8d44\u6e90\u6295\u653e\u6548\u7387\u63d0\u5347143%&#xff0c;\u8001\u7528\u6237\u9000\u8ba2\u7387\u4e0b\u964d3.2%&#xff0c;\u5b8c\u7f8e\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86HTE\u5bf9\u8d44\u6e90\u4f18\u5316\u7684\u4ef7\u503c&#xff0c;\u4e0e\u4eac\u4e1c\u96f6\u552e\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5f02\u8d28\u6027\u5206\u6790\u7ed3\u8bba\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4e00\u81f4\u3002<br 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